First all the bs with Twitter and Elon, then Reddit having an exodus to Lemmy (not complaining lol), then Twitch. Are we like, in an alternate self healing dimension or something?

  • Pigeon@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    This Lemmy migration does feel like waaaaay more positive of a result than I ever expected from reddit getting worse.

    I’ve always appreciated the idea of the fediverse, but mastodon and the twitter-style of social media has never appealed to me, and Lemmy used to be so tiny and niche, so I didn’t invest much time in it until now. But this sure is nice, comparatively. I’m probably on here too much though!

  • lvxferre@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    They saw Lemmy becoming successful, corporate mistook Lemmy with Lemmings, and decided to go out Lemmings style.

    …jokes aside, Cory Doctorow has a great text about that, called “Tiktok’s enshittification”. It’s a four-steps process:

    1. The platform is good for its users.
    2. The platform abuses the users, to be good for its business customers.
    3. The platform abuses the business customers, to claw back all value for itself.
    4. The platform dies.

    In my opinion it’s also the result of management being disconnected from the platform that it manages, and not knowing fully the implications of their own decisions.

  • rnd@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    Some people have come up with the word “enshittification” to describe the basic cycle of modern web services.

    The cycle consists of three parts:

    1. You make the service that attracts new users by providing what they want. Often you do that at a loss, because your goal is to gain a big enough userbase for steps 2 and 3.
    2. Once there’s enough users, you shift to attracting commercial interests instead – vendors if you’re running a store, advertisers or celebrities or other “big clients” if you’re a social network, etc.
    3. Once both users and commercial interests are hooked, you can start tightening all the rules and switching completely to profiting yourself and your shareholders.
  • empireOfLove@lemmy.one
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    1 year ago

    All these websites have almost always been net cash flow negative. They bleed venture capital to provide a service below cost in order to build a user base.

    The problem now is interest rates have spiked. Rates have been basically zilch for much of the internet’s history over the past 20+ years, so sites could actually operate for quite some time on super cheap debt that they almost never had to repay. And venture capital firms would just keep pouring money into the “next best thing”.

    Now that debt is rapidly becoming much more expensive to maintain, and those VC investors want their chunk of the pie back in their pockets. And they are going to extract it from every single one of these centralized services by whatever force is necessary. It’s only just getting started, you watch.

  • kamin@lemmy.kghorvath.com
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    We’ve reached the end of the VC-funded golden age where they are all now demanding a return on their investment, hence why the screws are now all getting tightened.

    • omarciddo@beehaw.org
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      I’m honestly surprised it even got this far. It was just common sense to me, even a decade ago, that companies that burned through VC cash and tried building up user bases with little regard for actual profitability couldn’t possibly keep it up forever.

      • mobiuscoffee@sh.itjust.works
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        1 year ago

        It also coincides nicely with web3 becoming a less nebulous thing and investors starting to shift their focus from user created content to practical applications of ai.

  • Valliac@beehaw.org
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    The line has to go up.

    The issue is that big companies have shareholders, and those shareholders don’t demand that the company stay solvent, but that they achieve year-over-year growth. Even minimal growth like 2-3% over LY is considered a failure to most shareholder groups, depending on the size of the company. So eventually they have to squeeze every last drop out of the userbase/product to keep the line going up, so shareholders don’t sell and bail.

    Now, with Twitter there’s a whole litany of poitical tin-foil hat theories I can shout out, but this isn’t the place for it.

    Reddit, Facebook, and Twitch: it’s money.

    Reddit is getting as much money as it can shored up with Venture Capital before it brings out it’s Initial Public Offering (basically going public for people to buy stock in). High IPO, more perceived value, more space for advertisers, people are going to buy in. EDIT: I believe this is why they’re making their API pricing so high (hence the whole current Reddit situation right now) so that they can get more ads viewed.

    Facebook: I don’t even know why people use FB, but im going to guess it’s just ads.

    Twitch: Again, Ad revenue. Slam as many first-party ads as you can so you get the money from advertisers. Keep the space clean and homogenized so Pepsi doesn’t feel bad about putting ads in a video before a hot-tub streamer. (not that they’re a bad thing, just using an example)

    Everything comes down to the line. And it has to keep going up.

    • jab4037@lemmy.one
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      1 year ago

      Just to add my thoughts to your Facebook point:

      I don’t use Facebook much but I do have an account for the sake of keeping connected to distant family I’d otherwise never speak to again. The rare occasion I’m directly contacted and open the app to see what’s up, legitimately every other post, sometimes several in a row, is some kind of ad or sponsernd Post. Legitimately my entire timeline is one massive ad reel, I cannot fathom how people keep using the platform. Literally anything else would be better

      • hyazinthe@feddit.de
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        1 year ago

        Maybe its a feature, not a flaw.

        Maybe Facebook is not only for connecting with family and friends, but also for shopping (ads)

      • livendie@beehaw.org
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        It’s pretty bad, the content you want to see the least is what’s always at the top of your feed. It’s like they are intentionally trying to piss you off.

    • honk@feddit.de
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      Keep the space clean and homogenized so Pepsi doesn’t feel bad about putting ads in a video before a hot-tub streamer. (not that they’re a bad thing, just using an example)>

      Oh it totally is a bad thing. They show women in an oversexualized lewd context to a target audience that consists to signifact extent of children. Don’t misunderstand this as moralism. I’m not coming from a conservative perspective that wants women to be all buttoned up or something. I’m just being critical of a company normalizing the objectification of women (or anyone) to children for the purpose of making money.

      • Valliac@beehaw.org
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        1 year ago

        I may have worded it wrong (mainly because morning coffee takes forever to hit me). I meant to say that I don’t think those hot-tub streamers are bad because of what they do, I just don’t think they belong on Twitch.

    • scrollbars@lemmy.ml
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      Yep, it’s this. Despite how it seemed in the 2010s investor capital is not free money. Investors want it paid back many multiple times over and they’ll risk destroying the underlying product if necessary.

    • shufflerofrocks@beehaw.org
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      Facebook: Mainly because of Facebook groups. They’re pretty whacky, have a lot of fun normie non-degenerate drama, and a well moderated facebook group is more wholesome than any reddit sub in my experience.

      It is relaxing to not have the hivemind like reddit or having users constantly one-up each other like twitter. Also wayyy less bot accounts in Facebook groups.

      Although it is declining because of FB’s shitty censors and bans, the group scenes are very much alive and fun.

        • shufflerofrocks@beehaw.org
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          Oh yeah I forgot about the Local Events and Services part. and Marketplace.

          I don’t think there is any replacement for FB in local event organisation. And with how crap google is rn, it is much easier to search facebook marketplace for local services and have a better outcome.

          • Mac@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Mobilizon is an event organization site that is part of the Fediverse but the benefit of the corporate sites is widescale adoption.

            • shufflerofrocks@beehaw.org
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              1 year ago

              TIL

              That looks like a nice piece of tech, but you’re right about the adoption part. Getting a minimally significant number of people to sign up for this in my country in gonna be a herculean effort

      • Valliac@beehaw.org
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        IF that’s something they can do? I don’t know. I don’t know a thing about backend work on third-party programs.

        There’s a part of the that thinks Reddit is the same way and just went “Hell with it, use us or nothing at all” and nukes the whole API except for the big-rollers.

        I wouldn’t even know who would pay such a high price for that anyway, outside of advertisers and algorithm scrapers.

        • Knusper@feddit.de
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          1 year ago

          It is possible for them to return sponsored posts via the API.

          Apps will request something like “Give me the first 100 posts from the subreddit /r/aww, using the sorting Hot”. And then Reddit can return 95 actual posts with sponsored posts sprinkled in between every so often.

        • deadcade@lemmy.deadca.de
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          Like everything that gets advertisements, ad-blockers will be built. While technically possible, look at the quality of SponsorBlock for YouTube. Serving ads in the API will clutter up feeds, data gathered by automatic programs or moderation tools, and it’s impossible to tell (on the Reddit server side) if they have actually been viewed.

    • bardware@beehaw.org
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      I hate how much of the entire internet experience is focused on ads, ads, ads. I go out of my way to block trackers so the ads often aren’t that relevant and really transparent. Buy, consume, give us your data, repeat. But what would the alternative look like?

  • effingnerd@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    I have a sinking feeling that these moves are not about money, but more about power and manipulation. If you squeeze these user bases such that the savviest users are forced out, those more likely to ask “Why?” about damn near anything, you will own access to a group of people that can be influenced to think/do/buy whatever the top management and/or majority shareholders want. If you lose a few million users, what does it matter if they were dissidents to your goals?

  • Fearofthefamiliar@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think all that many redditors are moving to Lemmy. Judging by the stats on join-lemmy, there are only several thousand monthly Lemmy users, which is nothing compared to reddit which had tens of millions daily users

    • JshKlsn@lemmy.ml
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      When I joined lemmy.ml and beehaw.org, the stats on join-lemmy.org were just over 100/month.

      Now it’s at 1K/month for beehaw and 1.6K/month for lemmy.ml

      There’s also a HUGE list now, where as when I joined last week there were maybe 8?

      Small numbers, ya, but Reddit still hasn’t done anything. I am sure July 1st will bring a huge wave of people who are still sticking with Reddit since apps still work.

      • datavoid@lemmy.ml
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        1 year ago

        I feel like reddit power users are the only ones who might switch, normal people simply won’t care. However, power users are already well aware of the coming changes, and have likely already looked for alternates by this point.

        Ive seen so many reddit posts on where people are like “what’s wrong with the official reddit app, it’s all I’ve ever used”… Lemmy is much better than the official reddit experience - the issue is most niche communities that exist on Reddit have ~1-5 subscribers here, makes it kind of a hard sell.

        Personally i’d way rather be in a small community filled with frequent commenters and posters than a big one where all you see is reposts and ads, however.

        • kiwifoxtrot@lemmy.world
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          Exactly this. I moved from Digg to Reddit ~14 years ago and mostly participate in the smaller/ niche communities on Reddit. I’m switching over to Lemmy and it reminds me of what Reddit used to be like.

        • Hagarashi8@sh.itjust.works
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          I mean, power users make most interesting content, so i can easily imagine regular users just naturally getting, like, bored.

      • Dandylion@beehaw.org
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        I came here from Reddit in preparation for it getting whack… ready to make a jump to something closer to how old school reddit was. I think we’ll see a lot more people who are like minded coming over too.

        • Peter Bronez@hachyderm.io
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          @Dandylion @JshKlsn @technology I’m interested in a Fediverse Reddit alternative. I’m familiar with Lemmy as a software project, but not as a community. Beehaw is totally new to me.

          What are these projects aiming for community-wise? What is needed to help them grow?

          And critically: Who is paying hosting costs and handling DMCA issues?

          • JshKlsn@lemmy.ml
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            I cannot answer most of your questions, as I don’t know.

            And critically: Who is paying hosting costs and handling DMCA issues?

            The hosting costs are paid by the instance host. As of now, servers are community funded. This doesn’t seem like a viable long term solution, as people hate paying, but hate ads. Unfortunately one of them has to be done.

            DMCA is also unknown to me. I guess it would be the admins of the instance the copyrighted content is hosted on? however, given the fact there’s nothing stopping an instance from being hosted in a different country, similar to pirate websites, I don’t know if there’s anything stopping or enforcing that stuff? I mean, from a legal standpoint. Sure, admins might not want their instance being full of piracy, but that would be more of a morality thing.

            • lemdoeswhatreddont@beehaw.org
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              One cool thing about decentralization is the higher costs incurred to copyright trolls. No longer can they comb through a single corp platform raising the alarm on violations, they’ll have to spend some effort searching wider, sometimes dealing with uncooperative admins, hydra effect within the same fed network, etc. I can see forces pulling in both directions, not sure where it’ll land.

              Imho hosting costs, community moderation, federation politics are the larger elephants in the room. Copyright has always been just a suggestion, the huge platforms are the exception.

          • stoicandanxious@beehaw.org
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            A DMCA method, Privacy Policy and even a TOS is what is needed to make me feel more comfortable here. Right now, you have no idea what the plan is for your data (and its rentention), data collection, etc. I might dig into the lemmy code and see if I can sus it out myself if I have time.

    • bouncing@partizle.com
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      The Twitter exodus (which is still limited) was because all of the problems at Twitter were sudden. Huge staff cuts meant lower quality, way more bots, and of course, the owner’s mercurial impulses.

      Reddit is a bit different. It’s more of a boiled frog situation. A little tweak here, a little change there, all definitely for the worse (and Reddit is going down hill) but so far nothing seismic. Even the number of users affected by the third party apps thing is pretty small because most users just looking at memes and sharing news just use the native app (my wife does).

      I’m not sure whether that really results in an exodus.

      Look at Amazon: it just gets worse and worse, but have people stopped buying from it en masse? Nope. It’s getting worse, but ever so slowly.

      • CleoTheWizard@beehaw.org
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        To be clear, I like it better here, but I do not want an exodus of any type. I want slow migration to help the platform grow more organically and for people to see a polished experience.

        People won’t come back if they show up once, interact with this not-pretty-but-functional site and don’t like it. So I’d rather wait for the influx of users to be at a later time tbh.

        • mrascii@beehaw.org
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          The trick is to have enough of an interest from enthusiasts now to “prime the pump” so when the general population comes over there is enough to keep them here.

          • iMach@beehaw.org
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            It sort of reminds me of the Digg exodus. Reddit was a much smaller site than Digg yet there were many instances of Digg users reposting things from Reddit since the community had quality content despite it’s small size. The Digg redesign only accelerated the migration.

    • nutomic@lemmy.ml
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      Counting methods are probably different, Lemmy stats only count users that posted at least once in the interval. I assume Reddit counts anyone who opens the site.

    • alehel@beehaw.org
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      I agree. A few more people will learn about Lemmy and come over, but to call it an exodus is probably nowhere near accurate. I just don’t think most people care enough. Yes Reddit will suffer. I’m just not convinced Lemmy will benefit that much.

      That said, I think we will benefit in the sense that there will now be enough people to sustain some nice communities.

      Disclaimer: I’m new here, so obviously talking somewhat out of my lower bode parts here.

      • PlantJam@beehaw.org
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        Reddit may not even suffer if it primarily loses users that browse with third party apps or on desktop with adblock. That would be a net benefit for reddit based on average revenue per user.

        • Pisck@lemmy.ml
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          That’s fair to point out, but it implies the only utility users provide to the site is ad impressions. I see a couple of reasons this is not the case.

          Mods make up a tiny portion of users but are disproportionately 3rd party app users and rely on 3rd party tools. But if any meaningful portion of the mod community leaves? The remainder were going to have a much bigger job without the tools. To attempt the bigger job with a smaller workforce is a double-whammy. Their only option will be to focus on their favorite subs and elevate more members to mods. The inevitable result will be experienced mods being far outnumbered by new mods, all of whom will have to stick to tedious tasks for subs to not be overrun by spam and hate speech. It’s hard not to predict the same result as what’s happened to Twitter’s content.

          Now consider nsfw content, which has always made up a huge chunk of reddit’s traffic. Moderation is even more difficult there to begin with and could easily melt down for the same reasons, even setting aside reddit’s growing distaste for it. Reddit is largely young and male and while many users may have no interest in it, the combination of nsfw imgur links going dead, moderation challenges, and the likelihood of reddit cracking down on nsfw is a combination that may cause reddit to be less attractive for many of the young, male userbase to visit.

          I think your point still has merit - reddit won’t miss many of the users seeking alternatives. I would say reddit’s casual “I didn’t even know there were 3rd party apps / old.reddit.com” users are also likely to be turned off by the ultimate results of their changes.

        • alehel@beehaw.org
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          Oh, that’s a point. Do third party apps not show those sponsored posts that look like a discussion, but are actually an ad?

      • setsneedtofeed@beehaw.org
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        1 year ago

        I think the Lemmy userbase stands to gain much, while Reddit Inc probably won’t feel a gut stabbing loss.

        I commented similarly elsewhere, but the “power user” content creator types on Reddit actively avoid r/all for being a dumpster fire. This disconnects them from the fact that there is an absolutely massive userbase on Reddit who scroll the frontpage and keep coming back to that low quality content.

        When power users threaten with “if we leave who will create content?” they are not understanding that their content isn’t relevant. R/all is full of low quality reposts, and political ragebait. My own original content probably cracked about 4K upvotes at highest. It was never going to go to the frontpage. When I deleted it, frontpage users never noticed.

        That kind of content is more fit for smaller spaces that have not become the self perpetuating juggernaut that the Reddit front page is.

        Lemmy and other sites will gain the quality from exiting power users, and Reddit Inc won’t feel it in the way they care about.

        I guess the question is: Do you care more about having a good online experience and not thinking about Reddit, or about burning Reddit to the ground? Because the later I don’t think happens from an exodus.

        • alehel@beehaw.org
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          Oh, I’m not saying it’s not good for us (or maybe I did. Badly worded in that case). I just don’t think Reddit cares or will notice to be honest.

    • nLuLukna @sh.itjust.works
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      Well right now lemmy is beefing itself up ready for a predict wave a people moving from reddit to lemmy due to the blackout. Now how many of those people stay and how many return to reddit is a different question. Few of us are moving right now, since you’d have to be involved in reddit communities more. But we will see how many people move on the 12th etc

  • WhoRoger@lemmy.world
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    Everybody just wants money now. Some of that is reasonable, these companies tend to work if not with a loss, then with quite unpredictable margins.

    Now that tech investors have found a new bubble - AI - they are no longer willing to sponsor old-fashion internet stuff and wait if it ever turns a profit.

    Especially since many got used to becoming all that richer during the pandemic, and are looking to keep those numbers rising.

    But there’s also some sudden hatred of porn, and I don’t know where that is coming from. Tumblr, Imgur have limited it completely, OF wanted to, Reddit probably will, coedcherry shut down. The owner of coedcherry said it was really a sudden 180° turn of the banks to no longer wanting to do anything with porn, and nobody knows why.

    It’s especially bizzare considering how these platforms keep assuring us that we’ll still be able to post and see blown off heads and all kinds of other nasty stuff, it’s just the titties that are being banned! Eh?

  • balderdash9@beehaw.org
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    Facebook dies due to privacy concerns and misinformation. Twitter under threat because Elon. Imgur just deleted their NSFW content. Reddit with its API pricing. Twitch executives also getting greedy. Youtube has been going down for years.

    It feels like we’re seeing the natural life-cycle of social media companies in real time.

      • Cass.Forest@beehaw.org
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        I very much like the community aspect of TikTok; is there anyone working on a Fediverse alternative to it? Or perhaps adding its features to PeerTube?

        • Ahri Boy@lemmy.ml
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          PeerTube could, but it needs more people to develop the Shorts feature, as well as proper client for mobile.

          • Cass.Forest@beehaw.org
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            Is there any work being done on a proper mobile client? I also wasn’t aware of the Shorts feature on PeerTube, but then again, I haven’t checked the site in a minute. Might want to look into publishing videos on an instance sometime.

    • deadcade@lemmy.deadca.de
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      Discord’s been going very downhill for years, and recently made a wider known awful change (although not too impactful). Wonder when they will be going too far with things like “Mee6” and “Nitro”.

        • BinaryEnthusiast@beehaw.org
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          They are changing the way usernames are being handled. Instead of letting them be whatever you want with the identifying tag after it, they are requiring it to be a unique username

          • Hyperz@beehaw.org
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            Oh right, that change. I personally didn’t think that was a big deal. Instead of having Username#1234 now you might have Username_1234. What am I missing?

            • BinaryEnthusiast@beehaw.org
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              It’s one of those “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” kind of changes. It’s just a weird one to suddenly push onto a platform, especially when the previous solution is better in every single way

              • Hyperz@beehaw.org
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                True. But I can somewhat understand why they’re changing it. When they started working on Discord they probably didn’t think it would blow up the way it did. The use of the discriminator is probably a bit confusing for some less tech savvy people. And @username has pretty much become the standard everywhere 🤷‍♂️

                • EvilColeslaw@beehaw.org
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                  Someone pointed it out to me recently the discriminator probably isn’t the driver for the change. The real driver is they committed a very dumb mistake originally, with regards to capitalization in usernames.

                  For example, in Discord the user names Hyperz, HyperZ, hyperz, hyperZ, HYperz, etc… can all be distinct usernames.

                • BinaryEnthusiast@beehaw.org
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                  Yeah that’s definitely fair. It could make it a pain trying to deal with impersonators as well now that discord has become massive

                • ClammyMantis488@beehaw.org
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                  1 year ago

                  I feel like if discord just did a better job of explaining it, then there wouldn’t be any problem. I’ve heard it’s a problem for content creators as well because they could remain semi anonymous by being pewdiepie#6381 but now they have to be @pewdiepie and actively claim that or else it sells on markets for thousands. That’s another problem, now username sellers will be a thing, when they weren’t before. Personally I’m kind of upset by this change. If it was about the weird ASCII characters people have in their names, why not restrict it. Most people don’t have them so they would be unaffected.

  • Mars@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    Their death is waaaay overdue. We literally jumped one cycle because the 2008 financial crisis and 0% interest rate.

    Now there is no free money, and they need to extract value to seem a good investment, so they canibalize themselves and turn into shit.

    Most of Elon stuff is doomed once reality catches on. Same with Uber. Same with streaming platforms. Same with Meta.

    Also there is a new/old boy in the bubble and burst town, Microsoft and their AI push. It’s going to destroy them pushing them into overspending to keep up.

  • Space Sloth@feddit.dk
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    1 year ago

    The twitter thing is sad, but honestly not a huge deal. I rarely used it anyhow.

    The reddit thing is depressing, since I’ve been a huge supporter and user of Apollo for many years. It feels like getting stepped on and I feel for the developer Christian Selig who devoted so much time and energy to the app.

    I hope nothing happens to Twitch in the way that Twitter and Reddit have though, the small time streamers I follow and support won’t survive a thing like that.

  • Kevin Herrera@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    From everything I have observed, businesses are hunkering down for a recession in the next fiscal year. It explains the lay offs, the penny pinching, and puzzling decisions that look like business suicide.

    For services that are free for users, advertising revenue and investment fund raisers are the only thing keeping them afloat. With banks like SVB getting seized by the FDIC, it’s starting to scare investors. Advertisers are seeing the writing on the wall that people will stop spending as much as they used to. We are also probably seeing jacked up pricing across the board because businesses are taking what they can before it’s gone.

    So what’s left? Squeeze users for money. Additionally, shed users that actually cost them money and these tend to be power users. The question, which everyone seems to be assuming is a foregone conclusion, is if this shedding strategy will end up killing the service. In reality, we don’t know but the idealists would sure feel good if someone else ate their market share.

    I’m just glad that federation is picking up steam in the social media space.